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Liveblogging: The 85th Annual Academy Awards

Song Lyric of the Day:

Something still unclear / Something not yet here / Has begun. / Suddenly the world / Seems a different place / Somehow full of grace / And delight. / How was I to know / That so much love / Was held inside me?

Les Miserables Cast / “Suddenly


My predictions for who will take home Oscars tonight:

Picture — Argo; all signs have been pointing to this winning

Actor — Hugh Jackman; who doesn’t love Hugh? More people love him than Daniel Day-Lewis

Actress — Jessica Chastain; it’s her year

Supporting Actor — Philip Seymour Hoffman; The Master got people talking

Supporting Actress — Anne Hathaway; she’s lobbied her ass off for this and I think it will pay off

Animated Feature Film — Wreck-It-Ralph; it was more beloved than Brave

Directing — David O. Russell; I think Silver Linings Playbook resonated emotionally with people more than Lincoln did. And, you know, Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated since Argo magically directed itself.

Foreign Language Film — Amour; mostly because it’s the one I’ve heard the most about

Original Song — “Skyfall” by Adele; this one’s a no-brainer


Argo tells the previously classified story about an American hostage rescue in post-revolutionary Iran. Now, the story was so top secret that the film’s director is unknown to the Academy.” Well said, Seth.


On Django Unchained: “This is the story of a man fighting to get back his woman who’s been subjected to unthinkable violence. Or as Chris Brown and Rihanna call it, a date movie.” Now there’s the Seth MacFarlane we know and love. And expect.


Captain James T. Kirk plays a recording of a song Seth will sing which will ruin the Oscars, “We Saw Your Boobs”: Kate Winslet in Heavenly Creatures and Jude and Hamlet and Titanic and Iris and Little Children and The Reader and whatever you’re shooting right now. We saw your boobs. We saw your boobs.

Seth: “Just so you know, I’m not actually a member of that (Gay Men’s Chorus of Los Angeles) chorus. I was just joining in at the end there.”

Captain Kirk: “Oh, trust me, in July 2015, you join the chorus.”


A sock-puppet version of Flight? I’d watch that.


I love that Channing Tatum, Charlize Theron, Daniel Radcliffe, and Joseph Gordon-Levitt joined Seth and the chorus on stage for that last song, “Be Our Guest.” A new Broadway musical starring all of them is already in development.


First Oscar of the night goes to Christoph Waltz for Django Unchained. I picked this one wrong, but I’m happy — Waltz is a great actor. “I borrowed my character’s words. I’m sorry. I couldn’t resist.”


I hope Paul Rudd and Melissa McCarthy go backstage and slap the writers who wrote their awful dialogue.


“Paperman” wins for Animated Short Film.


Brave wins for Animated Feature Film. Good thing I didn’t bet any money on my picks, eh?

The Avengers is was the most popular movie of the year, which is why it was only nominated once.” And out come Mark Ruffalo, Robert Downey, Jr., Chris Evans, Samuel L. Jackson, and Jeremy Renner.


Claudio Miranda wins for Cinematography for Life of Pi. Deservedly so.


Life of Pi wins for Visual Effects. The team got played off by the Jaws theme. That was a bit harsh. In an ironic way, considering their movie is about a man and a tiger adrift in a boat, no?


At least I didn’t bet on whether or not Jennifer Aniston would’ve branched out style-wise. Woman, do something different!

Costume Design goes to Jacqueline Durran for Anna Karenina. Les Miserables wins for Makeup and Hairstyling. Now we’ll never hear the end of Anne Hathaway’s short hair — it’s been validated.


Loved the Bond tribute. I’d like to take this opportunity to thank the Academy for the shot of Daniel Craig in the blue swim briefs. Sigh. And, oh, Sean Connery, we miss seeing you on screen.


Dammmmmmn, Shirley Bassey! Woman’s still got some pipes on her. Kudos on the much-deserved standing O.


Shawn Christensen wins Live Action Short Film for Curfew. Documentary Short Subject goes to Sean Fine and Andrea Nix Fine for Inocente. Which by all appearances has nothing to do with the concept of “inocente” Modern Family introduced us to last year.


Discussing actors who have portrayed Lincoln, Seth comments, “I would argue, however, that the actor who really got inside Lincoln’s head was John Wilkes Booth.” The audience groans in horror. “Really? A hundred and fifty years and it’s still too soon, huh?” Switching gears to praise Ben Affleck’s upward trajectory: “I feel like we’re six months away from having to call him Benjamin Affleck … I thought we cut this joke, but really, you wanna do it? The first time I saw him with all that dark facial hair, I thought, ‘My God, the Kardashians have finally made the jump to film.'” When the audience laughs, Seth adds, “OK, alright, so it worked. This is why it’s live.”

Malik Bendjelloul and Simon Chinn’s “Searching for Sugar Man wins for Documentary Feature.


“It’s Sunday, everybody’s dressed up. This is like church, only with more people praying.” Jennifer Garner and Jessica Chastain come onstage to present the next award. Jennifer’s dress looks like it’s birthing Big Bird’s cousin, while Jessica is almost invisible thanks to her dress color washing her out. She’s far too pale for that dress.


Amour (unsurprisingly) wins for Foreign Language Film. Finally, one of my picks wins!

I need to take a break, make some popcorn, walk around or something. This year’s ceremony is very boring so far. Oh, I can write a blog post for tomorrow, too. I’ll still be watching and liveblogging this, though.


I really wish John Travolta would give up the hairpieces. His hair tonight looks like something I’d find on one of Coraline’s Little People dolls. Or a Lego person.


Mark Paterson, Simon Hayes, and Andy Nelson win the Oscar for Sound Mixing for Les Miserables. I need to hurry up and see that movie.

I’m kind of weirded out by Ted co-presenting with Mark Wahlberg. Guess we know who drew the short straw tonight.

There’s an audible gasp from the audience when Mark Wahlberg announces there’s a tie for Sound Editing: one Oscar goes to Paul N.J. Ottosson for Zero Dark Thirty and the other goes to Per Hallberg and Karen Baker Landers for Skyfall. I can’t even remember the last time there was a tie for an Oscar.

Thank you, Google. Now I know this was only the third tie in Oscar history.


Surprising absolutely no one, the Oscar for Supporting Actress goes to Anne Hathaway. You just know she’s had her speech memorized for weeks now.


A win for Argo: William Goldenberg for Film Editing.

Jennifer Lawrence looks like a living Barbie doll — in a good way — when she introduces Adele to sing “Skyfall.” They may as well hand her the Oscar mid-performance.


Seth introduces presenters Daniel Radcliffe and Kristen Stewart: “He’s a boy wizard and she’s a girl vampire. So together they’re pretty much everything the Christian right says is wrong with Hollywood.” I imagine presenting will be the closest Kristen ever gets to an Oscar.

Rick Carter and Jim Erickson win the Oscar for Production Design for Lincoln, the only nominated movie other than Amour I’m not that interested in seeing.


Oh. My. God. This year’s ceremony is soooooo boring! There hasn’t even been an interesting/funny/entertaining/amusing/notable/stirring acceptance speech in the bunch. When the host is the only person worth quoting tonight, something is wrong.


George Clooney introduces the In Memoriam segment. Time to get the tissues.

The final tribute, to composer Marvin Hamlisch, seques into Barbra Streisand singing “The Way We Were.”


Catherine Zeta-Jones, Renee Zellweger, Queen Latifah, and Richard Gere give a coma-inducing presentation. The applause when Mychael Danna wins for Original Score for Life of Pi woke me up.

Oh, look the four most boring presenters of the night are back. Yawn.


Oh, look, Adele wins Original Song for “Skyfall.” As surprising a win as Anne Hathaway earlier tonight. Not. I need to go and buy the song in iTunes already. At least Adele’s speech made me happy — peppiest speech of the night.


If only the rest of us mere mortal women could pull off a hairdo as short as Charlize Theron’s and look even halfway decent.

Chris Terrio wins Adapted Screenplay for Argo, further convincing me the movie is going to win Best Picture later.


Woohoo! Knoxville native Quentin Tarantino wins for Original Screenplay for Django Unchained. Our hometown boy done good.


How are the Oscars not done yet? It’s not like anyone gave an extra-long speech tonight. Eh. I’m going to walk the dogs now.


Wow — Ang Lee won the Directing Oscar for Life of Pi. Didn’t see that one coming.


Holy crap — Jennifer Lawrence wins Actress in a Leading Role for Silver Linings Playbook. And she tripped on the stairs on her way to the podium. It looks like Hugh Jackman rushed to help her. (See? He deserves an Oscar just for being a gentleman.) I thought Jennifer’s speech reflected her genuine surprise at winning.


Presenter Meryl Streep cuts to the chase, doesn’t she? And the Oscar goes to Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln. Again, I’m glad I didn’t bet any money on my picks this year.

Ha — Daniel says he’d been committed to playing Margaret Thatcher three years ago and Meryl Streep was actually Steven Spielberg’s first choice to play Lincoln. He goes on to pay lovely tribute to his wife. Color me impressed.


A late surprise: Jack Nicholson introduces FLOTUS Michelle Obama via satellite to help present Best Picture.

And the Oscar goes to Argo. Yay! The win is all the more impressive since it directed itself.

“I want to thank my wife, who I don’t normally associate with Iran, but, uh … I want to thank you for working on our marriage for ten Christmases. It’s good, it is work, but it’s the best kind of work. And there’s no one I’d rather work with.” I get why Ben moved Jennifer to tears. Sweet that Ben choked up when he dedicated his award to his kids: “Violet, Sam, and Sera, I love you. This is for you.”

And now it’s time for bed.


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Liveblogging: The 83rd Annual Academy Awards

Song Lyric of the Day:

Now I’m here / Blinking in the starlight / Now I’m here / Suddenly I see / Standing here / It’s oh, so clear / I’m where I’m meant to be


And the Oscars have started with a montage of the 10 Best Picture nominees.

Co-hosts Anne Hathaway and James Franco are edited into Inception. Alec Baldwin + Ambien in a juice pouch = hilarious.

Anne and James are still in search of Alec Baldwin to seek hosting tips. From The Social Network to The Fighter to True Grit, this skit is as good as any of Billy Crystal’s opening songs. 

Back to Inception, complete with Morgan Freeman narrating, then The King’s Speech and now Black Swan. Worth it to see James Franco in a unitard.

A ride in the time machine from Back to the Future and the skit ends with Anne and James walking onto the stage.

Anne Hathaway’s mom chides her to have better posture. And there’s James Franco’s grandma. Or so he says … Grandma Franco: “I just saw Marky Mark.”

Anne: And it’s been a great year for lesbians.
James: That’s right.
Anne: Not just in general, but in movies.
James: The Kids Are Alright.
Anne: Lesbians.
James: Black Swan.
Anne: Dancing lesbians
James: Toy Story 3.
Anne: Where’s the dad?

Tom Hanks is up as the first presenter.

Art Direction nominees: Alice in Wonderland, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1, Inception, The King’s Speech, and True Grit. The winner, not surprisingly: Alice in Wonderland.

Nominees for Cinematography: Black Swan, Inception, The King’s Speech, The Social Network, and True Grit. The winner: Wally Pfister for Inception.

Anne and James introduce living legend Kirk Douglas. He gets a standing ovation.

Kirk Douglas introduces the nominees for Best Supporting Actress. Time to see if I guessed this one right.

The Oscar goes to Melissa Leo. So far I’m one for one! I’ve loved her since her days on Homicide: Life on the Street.

… aaaand Melissa Leo becomes the first person to be censored.

James: “Congratu-effing-lations, Melissa.”

Mila Kunis and Justin Timberlake come out to present. Justin cops to being Banksy.

Not digging Mila’s dress. It looks, oh, unfinished somehow. She and Justin are going to present Best Animated Feature and Best Animated Short.

The Best Animated Short Film Oscar goes to The Lost Thing.

As much as I liked Toy Story 3, I really would like to see How to Train Your Dragon win for Best Animated Feature.

No surprise there: Toy Story 3 won.

I love Anne’s dress. Beautiful. She introduces Josh Brolin and Javier Bardem as presenters.

Penelope Cruz looks remarkable — beautiful and well rested — for a new mom.

I called it: Aaron Sorkin wins Best Adapted Screenplay for The Social Network.

The music starts playing, Aaron Sorkin keeps talking. The music gets louder, he keeps going. It’s like he has his own score playing.

Javier and Josh’s white tuxedo jackets and ties are doing them no favors. They look like waiters who stumbled onto the stage at the Oscars.

David Seidler wins the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay for The King’s Speech.

Seidler gives a charming speech, wrapping it up by accepting on behalf of all stutterers: “We have a voice, we have been heard, thanks to you, the Academy.”

Anne’s changed into a tux. She still looks good, mostly because of the very sparkly high heels. She sings about an unnamed Aussie who bailed on her for a planned duet. The camera zooms in on Hugh Jackman, right before Anne sings about having fake retractable claws stuck into her heart. 

James comes out dressed as Marilyn Monroe and confesses, “The weird part is I just got a text message from Charlie Sheen.”

Russell Brand and Helen Mirren come out to present the next award. She speaks French, he translates: “Yo, my Oscar-winning performance as a queen was much more realistic than Colin Firth’s as a king.” She speaks French again, clearly calling Russell an idiot. He says he’s flattered, but that he’s a married man.

The Oscar for Foreign Language Film goes to Denmark’s In a Better World

Reese Witherspoon comes out to present the award for Best Supporting Actor. She looks like a vintage Barbie doll. With a pointy chin.

Well, I finally got one wrong. I thought Geoffrey Rush would win, but the Oscar goes to Christian Bale. I can only hope his beard is for a role.

At least he’s honest: Bale says of his co-star Melissa Leo, “I’m not going to drop the f-bomb like she did, I’ve done that plenty before.”

Bale gives a shoutout to, the site of the trainer he portrayed in The Fighter. The site has already crashed.

The presidents of AMPAS and Disney ABC Television Group come out to talk. Mentally tuning out … now.

OK, so now we know ABC will be home to the Oscars through at least 2020.

Anne’s in a new, gray dress. I don’t like this one as much as the white one she had on earlier. She introduces Hugh Jackman as “once again the Wolver to my Ine” since they made up backstage.

Hugh and Nicole Kidman’s intro about music in movies leads to a live symphony that starts out with — what else — the theme from Star Wars.

Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross win the Oscar for Original Score the The Social Network.

Scarlett Johansson and Matthew McConacrazy come out to introduce the award for Sound Mixing.

The team from Inception wins the Oscar for Sound Mixing.

Inception wins again, this time for Sound Editing.

Marisa Tomei could smuggle a family of five under that dress of hers. It’s huge!

Cate Blanchett’s dress wins the award for What the Hell? Dress.

The Wolfman wins the Oscar for Makeup.

Collen Atwood wins another Oscar for Costume Design for Alice in Wonderland. Fancy costumes or not, that movie was BORING.

You’d think an Oscar-winning costume designer would know those gloves are a huge fashion mistake.

Kevin Spacey introduces himself as George Clooney. He introduces the first nominee for Best Original Song, Randy Newman singing “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3.

Next up: Mandy Moore and Zachary Levi performing “I See the Light” from Tangled. I never knew Chuck could sing. Love the color of Mandy’s gown, even if the bottom half of it looks like 100 Muppets were skinned to make it.

Amy Adams and Jake Gyllenhaal present the nominees for Best Documentary Short Subject.

Strangers No More wins the Oscar for Documentary Short Subject.

God of Love wins the Oscar for Live Action Short Film. The first thing out of the winner, Luke Matheny’s, mouth: “I should’ve gotten a haircut.”

Luke Matheny gets a cheer for thanking his mother, who did craft services for the film. He gets a collective “aww” for thanking his composer/love of his life.

James Franco: “NYU, what’s up?”

Anne is now wearing a pretty gold, one-shouldered flapper-fringe-style dress. They introduce a fake video for “Tiny Ball of Light,” purportedly a duet between Ron Weasley and Hermione Granger from Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1. It’s autotune at its finest. A couple more fake videos/songs leads us to Edward Cullen singing “He Doesn’t Own a Shirt” from Twilight: Eclipse.

Oprah Winfrey’s a presenter? Of course she is.

The winner for Documentary Feature is Inside Job. Sadly, Oprah does not pronounce it “Inside Jo-OB!”

Anne introduces Billy Crystal. Any chance he’ll sing one of his songs? Look at that — standing ovation.

No song, but an introduction to a clip of Bob Hope hosting the Oscars.

Jude Law and Robert Downey Jr. come out to present the Visual Effects Oscar.

Jude to Robert about visual effects teams: “If it wasn’t for them, your closest association with a superhero would’ve been in 2001, when you got busted in a cheap hotel with a woman dressed as Batgirl.” Uncomfortable laughs all around. Robert’s retort: “OK, first of all that cheap hotel room cost $1250 a night with a corporate discount. Secondly, it was 2000, not 2001. And most importantly she was dressed as Wonder Woman.”  Wonder if Ricky Gervais wrote this joke.

Inception wins again, this time for Visual Effects. Rightly so, I might add.

The Social Network wins for Film Editing.

Anne’s now wearing a beautiful ruby-red strapless dress.

Jennifer Hudson comes out to present the final two nominees for Original Song. First up: “If I Rise” from 127 Hours, performed by A.R. Rahman and Florence Welch of Florence + the Machine. Yay!

I’m officially on the Go Away Gwyneth Paltrow train. Enough already.

Randy Newman wins for Original Song, his second Oscar.

Randy turns out to be very self deprecating, pointing out he’s been nominated 20 times and only won twice. He thinks a chicken dish has been named in his honor at the Academy luncheon.

Celine Dion begins to sing “Smile” for the In Memoriam segment. Cue the tears.

After a nice, understated (for her) performance by Celine Dion, Halle Berry comes out to introduce a tribute to Lena Horne.

The Oscars are really underwhelming this year. I’m multitasking and uploading photos to my Flickr account as I’m liveblogging.

I want Anne’s shiny blue dress.

Hilary Swank introduces Kathryn Bigelow to introduce the nominees for Directing. Tom Hooper wins for The King’s Speech.

Loved Tom Hooper’s heartfelt acceptance speech, especially how he thanked his mom for suggesting he make an unknown little play into his next movie: “The moral of the story is listen to your mother.”

Annette Bening introduces a clip for the 2nd Annual Governor’s Awards honoring lifetime achievements in film.

I think Anne’s done changing outfits for the night.

Jeff Bridges introduces the nominees for Best Actress.

Another non-surprise: Natalie Portman wins for Black Swan.

Anne flubs while introducing Sandra Bullock, who comes out to introduce the Best Actor nominees.

Way to go, Colin Firth. “I have a feeling my career has just peaked.” Not by a long shot.

I was wrong. Anne changed again. She and James introduce Steven Spielberg to introduce the Best Picture nominees.

And now I need to make the time to see this year’s Best Picture, The King’s Speech.

The choir from P.S. 22 in Staten Island, N.Y., comes out to perform and close the ceremony. They sing “Somewhere Over the Rainbow.” The kids are joined by Anne, James, and all the night’s winners. Fitting end to the evening.

And now it’s off to bed.

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83rd Annual Academy Award Nominees

As those of you who know me are aware, I call the night of the Academy Awards telecast My High Holy Night of Television. I’ve liveblogged it the last two years, and will hopefully be able to liveblog it again this year. Instead of predicting who I think will win moments before the winner is announced, I decided this year to make my predictions the day the nominations came out. Below are some of the major categories, followed by my predictions.


Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
  • Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
  • Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
  • Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
  • James Franco in “127 Hours”

Colin Firth: This is his Oscar to lose and it’s the Academy’s chance to award him when he should’ve won last year for A Single Man.

Dark horse: Jesse Eisenberg, for his most critically acclaimed performance ever and first-time nod.

Why the others won’t win: Bardem and Bridges are previous, recent winners; James Franco starred in a critically adored movie no one saw.

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
  • John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
  • Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
  • Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
  • Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

Geoffrey Rush: The King’s Speech is beloved by pretty much everyone who’s seen it, moviegoers and critics alike. His last Oscar win was long enough ago that he stands a good chance to win for Supporting Role this time around.

Dark horses: Jeremy Renner, since he was such a strong contender for The Hurt Locker and some think he should’ve been the one to walk away with last year’s Leading Role Oscar. Christian Bale can be offputting with his, shall we say, intensity, but you can’t dismiss his acting chops and physical transformations for his roles.

Why the others won’t win: John Hawkes starred in a critically adored movie no one saw; Mark Ruffalo’s performance is secondary to costars Annette Bening’s and Julianne Moore’s showier, starring roles and Bening’s nomination.


Actress in a Leading Role

  • Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
  • Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
  • Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
  • Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
  • Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

Natalie Portman: This is her Oscar to lose. She’s everywhere and on everyone’s minds; she’s the one to beat.

Dark horse: Annette Bening because the Academy snubbed her equally hyped costar, Julianne Moore, and might want to make up for that acting slight for their film.

Why the others won’t win: Nicole Kidman got raves for a movie too depressing for most of us to want to see; Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Williams both starred in critically adored movies no one saw.


Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
  • Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
  • Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
  • Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
  • Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Melissa Leo: She’s been adored by critics since her days on Homicide: Life on the Street, and has consistently delivered real, harrowing, utterly convincing performances in everything since (21 Grams, anyone?).

Dark horse: Helena Bonham Carter, because, again, everyone loves The King’s Speech, and crazy hair or no, Helena’s one hell of an actress.

Why the others won’t win: Amy Adams’ nomination is canceled out by her costar Melissa Leo’s nomination; Hailee Steinfeld’s buzz has dwindled to barely a hum; and how many of us outside of her native Australia have any idea who Jacki Weaver is at this point in time?


Animated Feature Film

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
  • “The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
  • “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

Toy Story 3: It provided a full-circle, emotional wrapup to the beloved series. Bonus points: It made grown men cry.

Dark horse: How to Train Your Dragon was pretty much as amazingly well-done, moving, and fun a movie as Toy Story 3. There might also be some voters who want someone other than Pixar to win this Oscar.

Why the other one won’t win: Because when I heard The Illusionist, I thought of the Edward Norton movie. I’ll be I’m not the only one.


  • “Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
  • “The Fighter” David O. Russell
  • “The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper
  • “The Social Network” David Fincher
  • “True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Tom Hooper: Have I mentioned that everyone on earth loves The King’s Speech?

Dark horses: David Fincher, David O. Russell, and Darren Aronofsky because the Academy owes them all some serious love at this point in their careers.

Why the other one won’t win: The Coen brothers’ movie received mixed reviews and may be seen by some as not being their best work. Also, this year’s competition is really stiff.


Best Picture

  • “Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
  • “The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
  • “Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
  • “The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
  • “The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
  • “127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
  • “The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
  • “Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
  • “True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
  • “Winter’s Bone” Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

The King’s Speech: See all the above comments. This is the one to beat, and there’s only one movie I think stands a chance to do that, which is …

Dark horse #1: The Social Network. Critics loved this one, but will the Academy want to award a movie seen by some as merely That Facebook Movie?

Dark horse #2: Black Swan. Overhyped? Possibly. Undeserving of that hype? Not necessarily. Easy to dismiss? Not so fast.

Why the others won’t win: Because it’s ridiculous to have expanded this field to 10 nominations from a more practical and far less crowded five. Inception won’t win since it didn’t get the Academy love it expected, Toy Story 3 was nominated for Best Animated Feature Film, and the others just crowd the field further.


Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

  • “127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
  • “The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
  • “Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
  • “True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
  • “Winter’s Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

The Social Network: Aaron Sorkin’s script is largely credited with this film being more than just That Facebook Movie.

Dark horse: Toy Story 3, because the Academy (and moviegoers) loves Pixar.

Why the others won’t win: Because they’re up against The Social Network and Toy Story 3.


Writing (Original Screenplay)

  • “Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
  • “The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
    Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
  • “Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
  • “The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
  • “The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler

The King’s Speech: Don’t make me say why again.

Dark horse: Inception, because confusing as some people found the movie, Christopher Nolan is a gifted writer of truly original movies and concepts.

Why the others won’t win: Because somebody has to go home empty-handed.

Now to wait and see how many I end up predicting correctly. I didn’t do too bad last year, so we’ll see if my streak continues.

Click here to see the complete list of nominees.

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Liveblogging: The 82nd Annual Academy Awards

Nice to introduce the Best Actor and Best Actress nominees, but a bit pointless.

Neil Patrick Harris singing in a sparkly jacket = WIN.

Who I expect to win tonight: Sandra Bullock, Jeff Bridges, Christoph Waltz, and Mo’Nique for the acting awards; The Hurt Locker and Up for Best Picture and Animated Feature Film, respectively; and Kathryn Bigelow for Best Director. Avatar will sweep all the technical/artistic awards. Not sure about the writing categories.

“And this is Alec Baldwin.” Well said, Steve Martin.

Steve Martin: “In Inglourious Basterds, Christoph Waltz played a Nazi obsessed with finding Jews. Well, Christoph (spreading his arms over the auditorium) … the motherload!”

OK, Steve and Alec need to move on from this pseudo-roast. This is exactly the kind of timewaster that makes the Oscars run two hours long.

Christoph Waltz takes the Actor in a Supporting Role Oscar.

Cameron Diaz looks like a living Barbie doll. Oddly enough, I think this is the most put together I’ve seen her in years.

Dug! And the winner for Animated Feature Film: Up!

Way to try to class up Miley Cyrus by pairing her with Amanda Seyfried. Miley looks like a 45-year-old while Amanda, on the other hand, looks like a beautiful young princess.

Colin Farrell can sing, too. Love him.

Original Song goes to Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett for “The Weary Kind” from Crazy Heart.

Loved Tina Fey and Robert Downey Jr.’s banter. I’m guessing Fey wrote it since it’s been the funniest, best-written bit since NPH’s opening song.

Mark Boal takes the Oscar for Original Screenplay for The Hurt Locker. I have to see this movie ASAP.

Molly Ringwald and Matthew Broderick presenting a tribute to John Hughes. I now feel very old, and am saddened all over again that Hughes died so young.

Nice to see John Hughes’ family at the Oscars. I don’t remember any other tributes like this.

Zoe Saldana is gorgeous, but what is she wearing? Are Barney or Grimace missing? Any purple Muppets that haven’t been seen in a while?

After a boring short feature about short films, Logorama wins the Oscar for Animated Short Film. Nicolas Schmerkin “I have to thank the three thousand non-official sponsors that appears in the film. And I have to assure them that no logos were harmed during the making of the project.”

The Oscar for Documentary Short Subject goes to Music By Prudence. And Elinor Burkett just very rudely interrupted Roger Ross Williams’ acceptance speech. What the hell?

I’m over this “short” category. The New Tenants wins for Live Action Short Film.

Ben Stiller’s dressed as a Na’Vi from Avatar. I can only hope this is funnier than his Joaquin Phoenix fiasco last year.

Nope. Not funnier.

Star Trek‘s team wins for Makeup.

The Oscar for Adapted Screenplay goes to Geoffrey Fletcher for Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire. He seems very sincere and incredibly humbled. And nervous. I can tell he’s going to make me cry.

“The thought when I get home that I’m gonna have a two-legged man in my room is so exciting I can hardly stand it.” Lauren Bacall is made of awesome.

Surprising absolutely no one, Mo’Nique wins for Actress in a Supporting Role for Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire.

Why the face, Samuel L. Jackson? Didn’t like Mo’Nique’s speech? Hmm.

Sigourney Weaver looks fab, and her dress is a gorgeous red. We should all age so well.

In another non-surprise, Avatar wins for Art Direction. The Oscars are beginning to feel like the Superbowl in that we’re past “halftime” and now it’s becoming predictable.

I noticed this during the red carpet special, but what the hell did Sarah Jessica Parker do to herself? Roll around in self-tanning lotion? She looks splotchy orange.

The Young Victoria wins the Oscar for Costume Design.

Oh, Charlize. No. Bad dress! Bad dress!

Loved the Paranormal Activity spoof with Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin.

It’s about time the Oscars had a tribute to horror movies.

In retrospect, this horror retrospective is going to probably give me nightmares tonight. Too many boogeymen and scary characters/situations too close to bedtime.

Edward Scissorhands is not a horror movie. And not one zombie movie that I saw among those clips (unless I blinked and missed one). For argument’s sake, I’ll say Twilight isn’t a horror movie, either. Horrible, maybe, but not horror.

The Hurt Locker wins for Sound Editing. I’d love to see Jeremy Renner in an upset win for Lead Actor; he’s always made really fascinating movie choices and has been underrated for so long. But I think this is Jeff Bridges’ year. But I digress … Double sound category victory for The Hurt Locker, this time for Sound Mixing.

Sandra Bullock looks gorgeous tonight. And Avatar wins for Cinematography, yet another stroke to James Cameron’s ego.

Demi Moore introduces the In Memoriam segment. Now I’m definitely going to cry.

Alas, James Taylor singing along to the In Memoriam segment sucked the emotion out of it for me. Never been a fan of his.

The Legion of Extraordinary Dancers takes to the stage to highlight the nominees for Original Score. First up: Hans Zimmer’s jaunty Sherlock Holmes score.

Michael Giacchino wins for Original Score for Up. I need to add that one to my collection (ditto Sherlock Holmes).

Thank you to the Oscar director for not pairing Gerard Butler with Jennifer Aniston in presenting the Visual Effects Oscar. Bradley Cooper is a vast improvement.

Avatar wins the Oscar for Visual Effects. Color me shocked.

The Cove wins for Documentary Feature. I love what the filmmakers aimed to do with this movie, but I honestly don’t think I have the stomach to watch it. The sign reading “Text Dolphin to 44144” was a nice touch during the acceptance speech, though.

The Hurt Locker wins for Film Editing. I wonder if this is another harbinger over the ultimate win over Avatar.

Oh, Keanu. You look a wee bit too skinny. I hope it’s for a role.

Quentin Tarantino and Pedro Almodovar introduce the Foreign Language Film winner: Argentina’s The Secret in Their Eyes (El Secreto de Sus Ojos).

Squee! Colin Farrell! Did I mention I was thisclose to him in Toronto? The boy cleans up real nice.

Sigh. This is yet another timewaster that is making the Oscars run long. Is anyone else out there still watching? Boring. And yet I’ve watched this long into it …

The Dude wins! It’s Jeff Bridges’ year: He wins the Oscar for Actor in a Leading Role for Crazy Heart.

I’m over these tributes, but I’m really hoping tonight is Sandra Bullock’s night.

Really disappointed/disgusted to see Sean Penn presenting the Actress in a Leading Role award after his comments the other day. Blech.

YES! Sandra Bullock wins her first Oscar, for Actress in a Leading Role for The Blind Side. Despite my innate dislike of sports movies but because of my love of Sandra, I will have to watch it now.

Sandra’s words about moms, particularly her own, got to me. Tears.

Oscar history in the making: Kathryn Bigelow is the first female director to win the Oscar for Directing (for The Hurt Locker). Woot!

It’s Bigelow’s year: The Hurt Locker wins Best Motion Picture.

That’s all folks. Goodnight!

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